NHC tracks tropical disturbance off Florida coast, 5 tropical waves

NHC tracks tropical disturbance off Florida coast, 5 tropical waves


According to the latest advisory from the National Hurricane Center, there is little chance that a low pressure area off the coast of Florida will develop further inland.

The system could bring heavy rain to the Carolinas late this week and into the weekend

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Elsewhere in the tropics, meteorologists are monitoring five tropical waves.

AccuWeather forecasters predict that the tropics will remain quiet for the next 10 to 14 days due to Saharan dust and strong wind shear in the Atlantic basin, both of which reduce the risk of storms developing or strengthening.

“We’re in the doldrums of the season,” said Alex DaSilva, AccuWeather’s lead hurricane expert. “There’s always a possibility, but we don’t see (another Beryl) happening.”

Things might start picking up again by the end of July, beginning of August.

“We’re still expecting a very, very busy season,” DaSilva said. “Don’t let your guard down. Don’t let the quiet period fool you. We’re at the beginning of hurricane season. It’s going to pick up and it could pick up very quickly.”

Colorado State University meteorologists this week updated their forecast for the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season. The forecast predicts an “extremely active” season and increases the number of named storms and hurricanes to:

  • Named storms: 25 (average is 14.4)
  • Hurricanes: 12 (average is 7.2)
  • Major hurricanes: 6 (average is 3.2)

The next storm of the season will be Debby.

Here is the latest update from the NHC as of 8:00 am on July 11:

What is NOAA Tracking in the Atlantic Basin?

Low pressure area off the coast of Florida: A large area of ​​low pressure several hundred miles off the southeastern US coast continues to produce patchy showers and thunderstorms.

Conditions do not appear favorable for further development of this system over the next day or two before it moves inland across the southeastern US this weekend.

Regardless of developments, parts of the Carolina coast could see heavy rainfall from late this week through the weekend.

  • Chance of formation after 48 hours: low, 10 percent.
  • Chance of formation after 7 days: low, 10 percent.

Elsewhere in the tropics, the National Hurricane Center monitors:

Tropical wave 1: A tropical wave in the eastern Atlantic Ocean is moving westward at a speed of 18 to 27 km/h.

Tropical wave 2: Another tropical wave in the eastern Atlantic is moving westward at 11 mph (17.7 km/h).

Tropical wave 3: A tropical wave in the central Atlantic Ocean is moving west at 11 mph (17.7 km/h).

Tropical wave 4: Another tropical wave is approaching the Lesser Antilles, moving westward at 11 to 17 mph.

Tropical wave 5: A tropical wave in the western Caribbean is moving west at 18 to 27 km/h.

Who is likely to be affected?

According to the National Hurricane Center, the low pressure area off the southeast coast could bring heavy rainfall to parts of the Carolina coast through late this week and into the weekend.

Forecasters are urging all residents to continue monitoring the tropics and to always be prepared. The advice is especially important for what is expected to be a very active hurricane season.

Weather Alerts and Warnings Issued in Florida

When is the Atlantic hurricane season?

The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through November 30.

When is the peak of hurricane season?

According to the Hurricane Center, peak season is September 10, with the most activity between mid-August and mid-October.

Map from the National Hurricane Center: What are meteorologists looking at now?

The systems currently being monitored by the National Hurricane Center include:

Interactive Map: Hurricanes, Tropical Storms That Have Passed Near Your City

Heavy rain is expected

What’s next?

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