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Who is the best fantasy pick for 2024?

Who is the best fantasy pick for 2024?

The top six running backs in redraft and best ball formats are fairly consistent across the board. Experts have McCaffrey, Bijan Robinson and Breece Hall as their top three guys, while Gibbs, Barkley and Jonathan Taylor round out the rest of the top six in pretty much any order.

After a 2023 season in which he scored 16.1 points per game in PPR formats, in addition to some incredibly efficient stats, Jahmyr Gibbs a hair comes in front Saquon-Barkleywho will try to find solace in his new offense with the Eagles.

Current ADP

Looking at current ADP data, the difference between Gibbs and Barkley is just 0.7 points, with both players sitting between the 12th and 17th picks, depending on the site you’re playing on.

FantasyPros (revision)

  • Gibbs: ADP 13 (RB5)

  • Barkley: ADP 14 (RB6)

The underdog (best ball)

  • Gibbs: ADP 12 (RB4)

  • Barkley: ADP 17 (RB6)

Summary season 2023

Has a rookie running back ever looked more explosive than Jahmyr Gibbs last year? Dan Campbell and company will probably want to say, “I told you so” after spending their 12th overall pick in the 2023 draft on Gibbs, who was projected as a late 1st, early 2nd round pick heading into draft day. All told, Gibbs has already earned superstar status in my book, finishing last season as the RB10 with 234 total touches.

For comparison, he ranked 25th among RBs and second on his own team, with David Montgomery totaling 235 touches last season. Talk about balance. Gibbs showed off his skills after breaking the first tackle — beating virtually any linebacker or safety to the point of attack with his agility and speed. After their Week 10 bye, Jahmyr finished as the RB7 with 13.5 PPG from that point forward.

As for Barkley, he’ll try to find his place on an offensive line that features Jalen Hurts, Devonta Smith, Dallas Goedert and, of course, AJ Brown. Saquon finished 2023 as the RB13 with 288 total touches (8th among RBs). With the move to the Eagles, a 39-touch game is likely out of the question, but the good news is that the once injury-plagued Barkley has had two straight seasons without much trouble. While he didn’t reach the 1k mark in rushing yards, his 10 total TDs made up for it for fantasy owners across the board.

Fantasy Outlook for 2024

The Lions’ offense should be firing on all cylinders early in the season, as the top offense only gets better the more reps it gets. Gibbs comes in as RB3 on our big board, with an RB1 ceiling and an RB8 floor whether he will remain healthy for most of the season.

While David Montgomery is still a factor, approaching 200 total touches himself, Campbell and the staff have internally agreed that Gibbs is too valuable to let Monty outpace him in touches for a second straight season. While some RBs struggle to take on extra work, Gibbs is built for it, and with plenty of tread on his tires, 2024 figures to be a career year for the superstar.

Barkley will be playing for the best offense of his career in his first year in Philly. While that sounds like a blessing, we expect his touch count to dip slightly. With three games of 25+ touches, the Philly offense has too many mouths to feed to live up to that statistic. Saquon comes in as the RB11 on our big board, with Travis Etienne, Rachaad White, Alvin Kamara and Josh Jacobs holding sway with more projected touches – especially in the red zone.

Remember, D’Andre Swift was Philadelphia’s lead back last season, only eclipsing 20 attempts twice. He also finished the year as the RB20 with 268 touches. It will all depend on Jalen Hurts in the red zone, but for now Gibbs has the upper hand in year two over Barkley, who will give up red zone touches and some PPR work to the Eagles receiving core.

Our pick: Jahmyr Gibbs

Jahmyr Gibbs has the talent, situation and ability to finish this season as RB1. Saquon Barkley joins a Philadelphia team that has had offensive success in fantasy football but has had less success at the running back position.

Miles Sanders and D’Andre Swift were both in good position to finish as RB10 or better in 2022 and 2023 respectively, but Sanders’ RB15 finish and Swift’s RB20 finish make it difficult to envision a world where Barkley finishes as RB5, as pundits predict.

In a Kellen Moore attack that focuses primarily on Brown and Smith, I’m leaving Barkley out.

As for Gibbs, in terms of redesigns, best ball and dynasty, the sky is the limit for the halfback in his second year. As the season progresses, he will undoubtedly see more work in the red zone and in the passing game.