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As any fantasy manager or stock trader knows, it’s difficult to predict the future. That’s why we rely on expert analysis to break down complicated systems into their easiest-to-understand metrics so we can stay ahead of the competition. But even then, fantasy analysis is often imperfect.
In today’s episode Matt Harmon is accompanied by Ben Gretch to discuss two of the most commonly used predictive metrics in fantasy football: rankings and projections. How do fantasy analysts like us come up with these? In what situations should one interpret one over the other? And in what situations are they completely useless?
Ben also explains four reasons why fantasy analysis and human instinct repeatedly lead to mistakes, and how to avoid these common mistakes.
Towards the end of the show, the guys discuss two younger players from the West: Jaxon Smith-Njigba and Javonte Williams, who are undervalued this year due to their disappointing 2023 seasons. Then they introduce a rookie wideout who is certainly worth a try in a high-volume offensive situation.
(4:40) – How fantasy projections are created and how the rankings differ
(25:30) – The four things fantasy analysis gets wrong
(1:01:15) – Underrated situations: Jaxon Smith-Njigba from SEA
(1:08:00) – Underrated situations: DEN’s Javonte Williams
(1:12:20) – Rookies worth a dart: KC’s Xavier Worthy
🖥️ look at that full episode on YouTube
For the rest of the Yahoo Sports Podcast family, visit https://apple.co/3zEuTQj or at Yahoo Sports Podcasts
