Yesterday’s high was 77° and the low was 66°. We had 1.59 inches of rain from the current system, which will gradually move out of the state today. Our total for the month is 3.10 inches and for the meteorological summer is 12.31 inches. The CPC is expecting a dry finish to August with below average precipitation and above average temperatures. Our normal highs are above 70 degrees.
CPC Outlook
Weather forecast
1943: Fall is in the air with record-breaking cold temperatures of 41 degrees in Grand Rapids and 43 degrees in Muskegon.
1955: West Michigan is in the midst of another heat wave, with Grand Rapids hitting a record high of 36 degrees, helping to make this August the second hottest on record there.
On August 18, 1914, 3.73 inches of rain fell in Saginaw. This is the second highest daily amount recorded in Saginaw during August. The highest rainfall total was 6.93 inches and occurred on August 10, 2012.
NWS forecast
Today
A slight chance of rain, with a chance of rain and a thunderstorm after 11 am. Mostly cloudy, with a high around 78. North wind 6 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph. A 50% chance of precipitation.
Tonight
30% chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8 p.m. Partly cloudy, with a low around 56. North wind 5 to 8 mph.
Monday
Sunny, with a high around 76. North wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Monday night
Clear, low around 49. North wind 5 to 7 mph, easing after midnight.
Tuesday
Sunny, high around 75 degrees. Calm, northeast wind around 6 mph in the morning.
Tuesday night
Mostly clear, low around 47.
Wednesday
Sunny, high around 76.
Wednesday night
Mostly clear, lows around 50.
Thursday
Sunny, high around 78.
Thursday night
Mostly clear, low around 54.
Friday
Mostly sunny, maximum temperature around 28 °C.
Friday night
Partly cloudy, low around 60.
Saturday
Mostly sunny, maximum temperature around 30 °C.
Discussion of the forecast
- Showers/scattered storms today, then dryer and less humid Latest surface analysis shows low pressure over eastern Ontario with water vapor imagery depicting a similar location for the upper low. Minor short waves were seen in the water vapor rotating around the upper low and these are progd to move across the eastern cwa today. Today will be the last we see of rain for much of the upcoming week and will be similar to yesterday...just a bit farther east. Instability this afternoon will be less than the last few days but 500-700 j/kg MUCAPE will be enough to support a few non severe storms as we go through the peak heating of the afternoon. Look for an uptick in showers/storms beginning early afternoon mainly east of US-131. The precipitation will wane during the evening as atmospheric stability increases and the influence of the upper low decreases as it moves east. High pressure will begin to move in tonight as drier air advects south from Canada. Today will be another humid day as dewpoints will remain around 70, but will fall into the 50s by Monday morning. Clearing skies tonight will lead to partly sunny skies Monday. - Below normal temps into Wednesday, warming trend starts Thursday Decent agreement amongst the models exists with keeping a deep northerly flow across the region through Wednesday. As a result relatively cooler air from Canada will funnel down into the Great Lakes region during this time. Ensemble temperature plots are fairly tight so decent confidence on the cooler than normal temperatures exist. A positively tilted mid level ridge approaches from the west Thursday and tracks through the area on Friday. Based on this, a warming trend will develop and above normal temperatures may arrive by Friday. Nearly all ensemble members show no QPF so we will keep the Tuesday through Friday period dry.