The 2024 Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 to November 30, with peak activity from August to October.
Potential Tropical Cyclone No. 5 has officially formed.
The National Hurricane Center in Miami has issued its first warning for the storm, which could potentially become the next named storm in the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season.
As parts of Florida recover from the damage caused by Hurricane Debby, which made landfall as a Category 1 storm at about 7 a.m. on Monday, August 5, the Hurricane Center issued a tropical weather forecast for potential Tropical Cyclone #5 on Sunday, August 11. The next named storm is Ernesto (see below for other hurricane season names).
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Here is information on Potential Tropical Cyclone #5 as of 11:00 p.m. Sunday, August 11 (the graphic below is automatically updated with each warning from the National Hurricane Center in Miami):
Where is Potential Tropical Cyclone 5 located?
Tropical storm warnings have been issued for parts of the Leeward Islands and the disturbance continues to move rapidly to the west-northwest.
Location: about 805 miles east-southeast of Antigua
Maximum sustained winds: 30 miles per hour
Movement: West-Northwest at 23 miles per hour
Observations and Warnings for Potential Tropical Cyclone No. 5
- A tropical storm warning has been issued for the U.S. Virgin Islands.
- The French government has issued a tropical storm warning for St. Barthelemy.
- The government of Antigua and Barbuda has issued a tropical storm warning for the British Virgin Islands.
Summary of current observations and warnings, what you should know
A tropical storm warning applies to:
- Guadeloupe
- Saint Kitts, Nevis, Montserrat, Antigua, Barbuda and Anguilla
- Saba and St. Eustatius
- St. Martin
- Saint Martin
- British Virgin Islands
- US Virgin Islands
A tropical storm warning means that tropical storm conditions are generally possible in the warning area within 48 hours.
Stakeholders in other parts of the Leeward Islands, the British and U.S. Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico should monitor the path of potential Tropical Cyclone 5. Additional observations may be required early Monday.
Possible course of Tropical Cyclone Five
As of 11 p.m. on Sunday, August 11, the system was moving toward the west-northwest at about 23 mph and this motion was expected to continue over the next few days. According to the forecast, the disturbance is expected to move across parts of the Leeward Islands on Tuesday and approach the U.S. and British Virgin Islands on Tuesday evening.
Maximum sustained winds will be around 30 mph with stronger gusts. Some strengthening is forecast, and the system is expected to become a tropical storm by Monday evening.
- The probability of occurrence within 48 hours is high at 80 percent.
- The probability of occurrence within 7 days is high at 90 percent.
Dangers for the country
Precipitation: Potential Tropical Cyclone 5 is expected to produce 4 to 6 inches of rain across the northern Leeward Islands. Puerto Rico is expected to receive 3 to 6 inches of rain, with a maximum of 10 inches.
In other parts of the Caribbean, Potential Tropical Cyclone #5 is expected to produce the following rainfall amounts through Friday morning:
- Leeward Islands: 1 to 2 inches
- Southern Leeward Islands: 2 to 4 inches
- Eastern Hispaniola: 2 to 4 inches
Wind: Tropical storm conditions are possible in the observation area from Tuesday.
Surfing: Swell generated by the system is expected to affect portions of the Leeward Islands beginning Monday night. This swell is likely to create life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.
What are the names of the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season?
According to the National Hurricane Center in Miami, these are the names for the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season:
- Alberto
- beryl
- Chris
- Debbie
- Ernesto
- Francine
- Gordon
- Helen
- Isaac
- Joyce
- Church
- Leslie
- Milton
- Nadine
- Oscar
- Patrick
- Rafael
- Sarah
- Tony
- Valerie
- William
If there are more than 21 named tropical cyclones during the Atlantic hurricane season, any additional storms will be given names from an alternate naming list approved by the World Meteorological Organization. These are the additional hurricane names for the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season:
- Adriatic
- Braylen
- Charity
- Deshawn
- emery
- Support financially
- Gemma
- pagan
- Island
- Jacob
- Kenzie
- Lucio
- Subscribe
- Nolan
- Orlando
- persons
- Ronin
- Sophie
- Tayshaun
- Viviana
- will
Contributor: Cheryl McCloud, USA TODAY Network-Florida
