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Map: Tracking of Tropical Storm Hone

Hone was a tropical storm in the North Pacific early Saturday morning (Hawaii time), the National Hurricane Center said in its latest warning.

The tropical storm had sustained winds of 65 miles per hour.

All times on the map are Hawaii time. From the New York Times

Where will it rain?

Flash flooding can also occur inland and away from the storm center. Even weaker storms can produce excessive rainfall that can flood low-lying areas.

Source: NOAA From the New York Times

What does the storm look like from above?

Satellite imagery can help determine the strength, size and composition of a storm. As a storm gets stronger, it’s more likely that an eye will form in the center. If the eye looks symmetrical, it often means the storm isn’t hitting anything that could weaken it.

Satellite image of the storm.

Typically, storms in the North Pacific that have moved from near North America retain their original name, which is determined by the World Meteorological Association. Storms that form in the Central Pacific are given a traditional Hawaiian name.

Storms often come close to Hawaii and affect the weather, but a direct landfall of a named storm on a Hawaiian island is rare because the land area is relatively small. Even a glimpse of one of these storms can cause problems. In 2020, Hurricane Douglas did not hit the islands directly, but it did bring damaging winds.

During El Niño years, a widespread weather phenomenon in the equatorial Pacific, warm water is pushed eastward, bringing warmer water closer to Hawaii and providing a breeding ground for the formation of storms in the central Pacific.

El Niño is also increasing the number of named storms in the eastern Pacific by reducing wind shear in the region. Wind shear—a change in wind speed and/or direction with height—tears storms apart and can prevent them from strengthening or even developing.

This year, La Niña (the opposite of El Niño) will most likely form during the season, reducing the number of named storms in the Central Pacific.

Sources and references

Tracking map Tracking data is from the National Hurricane Center. The map shows probabilities of 5 percent or more. The forecast is valid for up to five days, with that period beginning up to three hours before the reported time the storm reaches its last location. Wind speed probability data is not available north of 60.25 degrees north latitude.

Wind arrival table Arrival times are derived from a New York Times analysis of National Hurricane Center data. Geographic locations are based on data from the U.S. Census Bureau and Natural Earth. Time zones are based on Google. The table shows the predicted arrival times of sustained, destructive winds of 58 mph or greater for selected cities that have a probability of those winds reaching them. When destructive winds reach a location, they have no more than a 10 percent chance of arriving before the “earliest reasonable” time and a 50 percent chance of arriving before the “most likely” time.

Radar map The radar images come from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration through Iowa State University. These mosaics are created by combining individual radar stations that make up the NEXRAD network.

Storm surge map Storm surge data comes from the National Hurricane Center. Forecasts include only the Gulf and Atlantic coasts of the United States, Puerto Rico, and the U.S. Virgin Islands. Actual areas that may be inundated may vary from those shown on this map. This map takes into account tides, but not waves or flooding caused by rain. The map also includes tidal areas that are regularly inundated during typical high tides.

Satellite map Images are from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and the Japanese Meteorological Agency via the Cooperative Institute for Research in the Atmosphere.

precipitation Map Data for multi-day forecasts or observed precipitation amounts come from the National Weather Service. The 1-day forecast comes from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.

By Olivia

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